Help needed

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Help needed

Postby derleydoo » Thu Jan 20, 2022 10:31 pm

My grandaughter has just sent me the following. I am clueless. Anyone able to tell me how to calculate. :-k Many thanks. dd

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Re: Help needed

Postby MagsJ » Thu Jan 20, 2022 10:38 pm

_
Um.. shouldn’t she be doing her own homework?
The possibility of anything we can imagine existing is endless and infinite.. ~MagsJ

I haven't got the time to spend the time reading something that is telling me nothing, as I will never be able to get back that time, and I may need it for something important at some point in time.. Huh!? ~MagsJ

You’re suggestions and I just simply don’t mix.. like oil on water, or a very bad DJ ~MagsJ

Examine what is said, not him who speaks ~Arab proverb

aes Sanātana Dharma Pali: the eternal way ~it should not be rigid, but inclusive of the best of all knowledge for the sake of Ṛta.. which is endless.
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Re: Help needed

Postby derleydoo » Thu Jan 20, 2022 10:58 pm

MagsJ wrote:_
Um.. shouldn’t she be doing her own homework?


I'm sure she will... once someone has taught me - so that I might teach her!
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Re: Help needed

Postby MagsJ » Thu Jan 20, 2022 11:19 pm

_
Ah, ok.
The possibility of anything we can imagine existing is endless and infinite.. ~MagsJ

I haven't got the time to spend the time reading something that is telling me nothing, as I will never be able to get back that time, and I may need it for something important at some point in time.. Huh!? ~MagsJ

You’re suggestions and I just simply don’t mix.. like oil on water, or a very bad DJ ~MagsJ

Examine what is said, not him who speaks ~Arab proverb

aes Sanātana Dharma Pali: the eternal way ~it should not be rigid, but inclusive of the best of all knowledge for the sake of Ṛta.. which is endless.
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Re: Help needed

Postby Flannel Jesus » Fri Jan 21, 2022 9:43 am

well first figure out her probability to win the prize. her probability to not win is (1 minus pWin)

you know thi because all possible (mutually exclusive) outcomes add up to 1, so (pwin + plose) = 1 -- this just means that theres a 100% chance that she will win or lose.
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Re: Help needed

Postby Dan~ » Fri Jan 21, 2022 10:17 am

29/1

One chance out of 29.
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Re: Help needed

Postby phyllo » Fri Jan 21, 2022 12:10 pm

Since the elites control everything, one must ask if she is one of the elites or not.

She probably isn't, therefore her probability of not winning is 100% certain.
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Re: Help needed

Postby Sculptor » Fri Jan 21, 2022 12:17 pm

derleydoo wrote:My grandaughter has just sent me the following. I am clueless. Anyone able to tell me how to calculate. :-k Many thanks. dd

maths.jpg


There approximately 29, twelves in 350. SO she has 1 chance in 29 ish., of winning, or 28ish chances in 1 of losing.
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Re: Help needed

Postby phyllo » Fri Jan 21, 2022 12:30 pm

The probability of any ticket winning is 1/350

Since she has 12 tickets, her probability of winning is 12/350

Her probability of losing is 1 minus the probability of winning, which is 1- 12/350

So the probability that she will not win is 338/350
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Re: Help needed

Postby MagsJ » Fri Jan 21, 2022 2:47 pm

_
Derley.. any gambling Person would have known the odds.

I take it you’re not a gambling person? otherwise you would have known, right off da bat. :)
The possibility of anything we can imagine existing is endless and infinite.. ~MagsJ

I haven't got the time to spend the time reading something that is telling me nothing, as I will never be able to get back that time, and I may need it for something important at some point in time.. Huh!? ~MagsJ

You’re suggestions and I just simply don’t mix.. like oil on water, or a very bad DJ ~MagsJ

Examine what is said, not him who speaks ~Arab proverb

aes Sanātana Dharma Pali: the eternal way ~it should not be rigid, but inclusive of the best of all knowledge for the sake of Ṛta.. which is endless.
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MagsJ
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Re: Help needed

Postby phyllo » Fri Jan 21, 2022 3:10 pm

The Difference Between "Probability" and "Odds"

The probability that an event will occur is the fraction of times you expect to see that event in many trials. Probabilities always range between 0 and 1. The odds are defined as the probability that the event will occur divided by the probability that the event will not occur.

https://sphweb.bumc.bu.edu/otlt/mph-mod ... als10.html
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Re: Help needed

Postby Motor Daddy » Fri Jan 21, 2022 4:11 pm

350 - 12 = 338

Her probability of winning is 12 ÷ 350 = .0342, or 3.42%

The other 338 tickets have a 338 ÷ 350 = .9657, or 96.57% probability of winning.


So her probability of NOT winning is 96.57%

Unless it's a corrupt raffle and the scout leader's kid will win, then all bets are off.
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Re: Help needed

Postby Motor Daddy » Fri Jan 21, 2022 4:12 pm

phyllo wrote:
The Difference Between "Probability" and "Odds"

The probability that an event will occur is the fraction of times you expect to see that event in many trials. Probabilities always range between 0 and 1. The odds are defined as the probability that the event will occur divided by the probability that the event will not occur.

https://sphweb.bumc.bu.edu/otlt/mph-mod ... als10.html


1 is 100%, it is 1.00 which is 100%.
Duh?
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Re: Help needed

Postby Flannel Jesus » Sat Jan 22, 2022 10:52 am

Dan~ wrote:29/1

One chance out of 29.


How the heck did you get that? Are you trolling?
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Re: Help needed

Postby MagsJ » Sat Jan 22, 2022 1:13 pm

phyllo wrote:
The Difference Between "Probability" and "Odds"

The probability that an event will occur is the fraction of times you expect to see that event in many trials. Probabilities always range between 0 and 1. The odds are defined as the probability that the event will occur divided by the probability that the event will not occur.

https://sphweb.bumc.bu.edu/otlt/mph-mod ... als10.html

Well what were the odds of that happening? ..I guess I should have done my homework on that one, huh. :lol:
The possibility of anything we can imagine existing is endless and infinite.. ~MagsJ

I haven't got the time to spend the time reading something that is telling me nothing, as I will never be able to get back that time, and I may need it for something important at some point in time.. Huh!? ~MagsJ

You’re suggestions and I just simply don’t mix.. like oil on water, or a very bad DJ ~MagsJ

Examine what is said, not him who speaks ~Arab proverb

aes Sanātana Dharma Pali: the eternal way ~it should not be rigid, but inclusive of the best of all knowledge for the sake of Ṛta.. which is endless.
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MagsJ
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Posts: 25057
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Location: Suryaloka / LDN Town

Re: Help needed

Postby derleydoo » Sat Jan 22, 2022 9:43 pm

Big thank you to all who took the time to offer assistance. Very grateful. =D>
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Re: Help needed

Postby Dan~ » Mon Jan 24, 2022 12:20 am

Flannel Jesus wrote:
Dan~ wrote:29/1

One chance out of 29.


How the heck did you get that? Are you trolling?


I miss-read.
my post was the odds of someone winning.
I like http://www.accuradio.com , internet radio.
https://dannerz.itch.io/ -- a new and minimal webside now hosting my free game projects.
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